⚽WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇵🇱

USA vs Poland

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇵🇱 POL: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

0–0
🇵🇱

POL

🏆 USA predicted to win

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
POL🇵🇱
75⚡ Attack74
76🛡️ Defense72
74🎯 Midfield71
89📈 Recent Form49
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
W1–0
vs Canada
W3–0
vs Mexico
W4–2
vs Chile
W4–1
vs Peru
L1–2
vs Germany

🇵🇱PolandLast 5
D2–2
vs Nigeria
L0–2
vs Ukraine
W1–0
vs New Zealand
W2–0
vs Moldova
L1–2
vs Scotland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. USA hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1792). The model projects 2.06 expected goals for USA versus 0.89 for Poland, indicating a clear attacking advantage. USA's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: USA 63% · Draw 23% · Poland 14%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 74)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1685)
  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W L
🇵🇱

Poland

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

POL wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

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🇺🇸 USA vs 🇵🇱 Poland · FIFA World Cup 2026