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🇺🇸vs🇲🇽

USA vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
MEX🇲🇽
75 Attack74
76🛡️ Defense74
74🎯 Midfield75
36📈 Recent Form87
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
L1–2
vs Germany
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1914). Mexico are projected 1.59 xG against USA's 0.63, reflecting their offensive dominance. Mexico's superior momentum (W-W-W-D-D) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: USA 13% · Draw 28% · Mexico 59%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1914 vs 1746)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026