⚽WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇲🇽

USA vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

0–0
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
MEX🇲🇽
75⚡ Attack74
76🛡️ Defense74
74🎯 Midfield75
89📈 Recent Form28
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
W1–0
vs Canada
W3–0
vs Mexico
W4–2
vs Chile
W4–1
vs Peru
L1–2
vs Germany

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. USA and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for USA versus 0.94 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. USA's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: USA 41% · Draw 32% · Mexico 27%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W L
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1868 vs 1792)

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026