WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇯🇵

USA vs Japan

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

00
🇯🇵

JPN

🏆 Japan predicted to win

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
JPN🇯🇵
75 Attack77
76🛡️ Defense75
74🎯 Midfield78
56📈 Recent Form100
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay

🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1906). Japan are projected 1.92 xG against USA's 0.82, reflecting their offensive dominance. Japan's superior momentum (W-W-W-W-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: USA 14% · Draw 24% · Japan 62%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1733)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

JPN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026