WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇮🇹

USA vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
ITA🇮🇹
75 Attack79
76🛡️ Defense87
74🎯 Midfield83
56📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Italy are projected 1.70 xG against USA's 1.16, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: USA 25% · Draw 26% · Italy 49%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1733)

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026