WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇪🇨

USA vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
ECU🇪🇨
75 Attack74
76🛡️ Defense73
74🎯 Midfield72
56📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). Ecuador are projected 1.28 xG against USA's 0.70, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: USA 19% · Draw 32% · Ecuador 49%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1733)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026