WhoWinsToday
🇺🇸vs🇪🇨

USA vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇸 USA: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇸

USA

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇺🇸USA
ECU🇪🇨
75 Attack74
76🛡️ Defense73
74🎯 Midfield72
36📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇸USALast 5
L1–2
vs Germany
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). Ecuador are projected 1.42 xG against USA's 0.66, reflecting their offensive dominance. Ecuador's superior momentum (W-W-D-D-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: USA 16% · Draw 30% · Ecuador 54%.

🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W
  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1746)

Head-to-Head Record

5

USA wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇸 USA vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026