WhoWinsToday
🇺🇾vs🇶🇦

Uruguay vs Qatar

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇾 URU: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇾

URU

00
🇶🇦

QAT

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇾URU
QAT🇶🇦
78 Attack66
80🛡️ Defense66
77🎯 Midfield66
46📈 Recent Form21
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan

🇶🇦QatarLast 5
D0–0
vs El Salvador
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Uruguay hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1841). The model projects 1.16 expected goals for Uruguay versus 0.57 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Uruguay's recent run of form (D-D-L-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Uruguay 49% · Draw 34% · Qatar 17%.

🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1841 vs 1411)
  • Midfield superiority (rating 77)
  • Better recent form — D D L D W
🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

URU wins

3

Draws

5

QAT wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026