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🇺🇾vs🇲🇽

Uruguay vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇾 URU: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇾

URU

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇾URU
MEX🇲🇽
78 Attack74
80🛡️ Defense74
77🎯 Midfield75
46📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Uruguay and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.72 vs 0.73, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Mexico's superior momentum (W-W-D-D-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Uruguay 29% · Draw 41% · Mexico 30%.

🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1892 vs 1867)
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W

Head-to-Head Record

5

URU wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026