⚽WhoWinsToday
🇺🇾vs🇲🇽

Uruguay vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇾 URU: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇾

URU

0–0
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇾URU
MEX🇲🇽
78⚡ Attack74
80🛡️ Defense74
77🎯 Midfield75
68📈 Recent Form28
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
W1–6
@ India
W1–4
@ South Korea
L3–1
@ Japan
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Uruguay and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.21 expected goals for Uruguay versus 0.78 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Uruguay's recent run of form (W-W-L-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Uruguay 45% · Draw 33% · Mexico 22%.

🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — W W L D D
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

URU wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026