🇺🇾vs🇮🇹
Uruguay vs Italy
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇺🇾 URU: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇺🇾
URU
0–0
🇮🇹
ITA
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇺🇾URU
ITA🇮🇹
78⚡ Attack79
80🛡️ Defense87
77🎯 Midfield83
68📈 Recent Form65
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
W1–6
@ India
W1–4
@ South Korea
L3–1
@ Japan
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Uruguay and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.23 vs 1.10, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Uruguay 37% · Draw 32% · Italy 31%.
🇺🇾
Uruguay
Why they could win
Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1851)
Head-to-Head Record
5
URU wins
3
Draws
5
ITA wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026