🇺🇾vs🇮🇹
Uruguay vs Italy
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇺🇾 URU: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇺🇾
URU
0–0
🇮🇹
ITA
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇺🇾URU
ITA🇮🇹
78⚡ Attack79
80🛡️ Defense87
77🎯 Midfield83
46📈 Recent Form54
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Uruguay and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.04 vs 0.95, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Uruguay 35% · Draw 35% · Italy 30%.
🇺🇾
Uruguay
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1892 vs 1859)
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
- ✓Better recent form — W D L L W
Head-to-Head Record
5
URU wins
3
Draws
5
ITA wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
🏟️ Live eventsWatch It Live
🇺🇾 Uruguay vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026