WhoWinsToday
🇺🇦vs🇳🇱

Ukraine vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇦 UKR: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇦

UKR

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇦UKR
NED🇳🇱
73 Attack85
75🛡️ Defense81
73🎯 Midfield83
74📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇦UkraineLast 5
W0–2
@ Poland
W1–0
vs Albania
W1–2
@ New Zealand
L4–2
@ Canada
L3–0
@ Belgium

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Netherlands hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1944). Netherlands are projected 1.52 xG against Ukraine's 1.02, reflecting their offensive dominance. Ukraine's recent run of form (W-W-W-L-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Ukraine 24% · Draw 29% · Netherlands 47%.

🇺🇦

Ukraine

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W L L
  • Stronger defence (1.4 conceded/match)
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1785)
  • Superior attack (2.1 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

UKR wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇺🇦 Ukraine vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026