WhoWinsToday
🇺🇦vs🇮🇹

Ukraine vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇺🇦 UKR: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇺🇦

UKR

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇺🇦UKR
ITA🇮🇹
73 Attack79
75🛡️ Defense87
73🎯 Midfield83
74📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇺🇦UkraineLast 5
W0–2
@ Poland
W1–0
vs Albania
W1–2
@ New Zealand
L4–2
@ Canada
L3–0
@ Belgium

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Ukraine and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.10 vs 1.36, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Ukraine 29% · Draw 30% · Italy 41%.

🇺🇦

Ukraine

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W L L
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1785)

Head-to-Head Record

5

UKR wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇺🇦 Ukraine vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026