WhoWinsToday
🇸🇪vs🇺🇾

Sweden vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
URU🇺🇾
71 Attack78
71🛡️ Defense80
70🎯 Midfield77
60📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
D2–2
vs Greece
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Uruguay hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1841). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.12 vs 0.99, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Sweden 37% · Draw 33% · Uruguay 30%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — D L W W W
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 77)
  • Higher Elo rating (1841 vs 1731)

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026