⚽WhoWinsToday
🇸🇪vs🇲🇽

Sweden vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

0–0
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
MEX🇲🇽
71⚡ Attack74
71🛡️ Defense74
70🎯 Midfield75
60📈 Recent Form28
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
D2–2
vs Greece
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1868). The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Sweden versus 0.90 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Sweden's recent run of form (D-L-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Sweden 47% · Draw 30% · Mexico 23%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — D L W W W
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1868 vs 1774)

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026