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🇸🇪vs🇲🇽

Sweden vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
MEX🇲🇽
71 Attack74
71🛡️ Defense74
70🎯 Midfield75
58📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.97 vs 0.96, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Sweden 33% · Draw 35% · Mexico 32%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1714)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026