WhoWinsToday
🇸🇪vs🇮🇹

Sweden vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
ITA🇮🇹
71 Attack79
71🛡️ Defense87
70🎯 Midfield83
60📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
D2–2
vs Greece
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1869). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.42 vs 1.26, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Sweden 39% · Draw 29% · Italy 32%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1869 vs 1731)

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026