WhoWinsToday
🇸🇪vs🇪🇨

Sweden vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
ECU🇪🇨
71 Attack74
71🛡️ Defense73
70🎯 Midfield72
58📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1935). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.95 vs 0.99, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Sweden 31% · Draw 35% · Ecuador 34%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1714)
  • Better recent form — W D D W D

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026