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🇸🇪vs🇭🇷

Sweden vs Croatia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇸🇪 SWE: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇸🇪

SWE

00
🇭🇷

CRO

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇸🇪SWE
CRO🇭🇷
71 Attack81
71🛡️ Defense82
70🎯 Midfield84
58📈 Recent Form30
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg

🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
W2–0
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Croatia hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1908). The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Sweden versus 0.98 for Croatia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Sweden's recent run of form (L-W-W-W-L) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Sweden 47% · Draw 30% · Croatia 23%.

🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — L W W W L
  • Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)
🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 84)
  • Higher Elo rating (1908 vs 1714)
  • Superior attack (1.3 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

SWE wins

3

Draws

5

CRO wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇸🇪 Sweden vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026