WhoWinsToday
🇪🇸vs🇲🇽

Spain vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇸 ESP: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇸

ESP

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇪🇸ESP
MEX🇲🇽
86 Attack74
88🛡️ Defense74
92🎯 Midfield75
73📈 Recent Form87
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇸SpainLast 5
W1–3
@ Peru
D1–1
vs Iraq
D0–0
vs Egypt
W3–0
vs Serbia
D2–2
@ Portugal

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Spain hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (2177). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.14 vs 0.98, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Spain 38% · Draw 33% · Mexico 29%.

🇪🇸

Spain

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 92)
  • Higher Elo rating (2177 vs 1913)
  • Superior attack (2.4 goals/match avg)
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Stronger defence (0.7 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ESP wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026