⚽WhoWinsToday
🇪🇸vs🇲🇽

Spain vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇪🇸 ESP: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇪🇸

ESP

0–0
🇲🇽

MEX

🏆 Spain predicted to win

Team Strength

🇪🇸ESP
MEX🇲🇽
86⚡ Attack74
88🛡️ Defense74
92🎯 Midfield75
73📈 Recent Form28
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇪🇸SpainLast 5
W1–3
@ Peru
D1–1
vs Iraq
D0–0
vs Egypt
W3–0
vs Serbia
D2–2
@ Portugal

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Spain hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (2287). The model projects 1.66 expected goals for Spain versus 0.68 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Spain's recent run of form (W-D-D-W-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Spain 60% · Draw 26% · Mexico 14%.

🇪🇸

Spain

Why they could win

  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 92)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (2287 vs 1868)
  • ✓Better recent form — W D D W D
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • ✓Stronger defence (1.1 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

ESP wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026