Spain vs Japan

Spain are favored to win due to their higher Elo rating and superior midfield control, but Japan's recent unbeaten streak and solid defensive record suggest they can contain Spain's attack, leading to a likely 1-1 draw. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Spain's experience and overall ratings giving them a slight edge, but Japan's momentum and counter-attacking ability keeping them in the game. A low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome, reflecting the relatively even win probability and predicted score of 1-1.