🇪🇸vs🇮🇹
Spain vs Italy
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇪🇸 ESP: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇪🇸
ESP
0–0
🇮🇹
ITA
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇪🇸ESP
ITA🇮🇹
86⚡ Attack79
88🛡️ Defense87
92🎯 Midfield83
70📈 Recent Form54
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇪🇸SpainLast 5
D0–0
vs Egypt
W3–0
vs Serbia
D2–2
@ Portugal
W5–4
vs France
D3–3
vs Netherlands
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Spain hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (2165). The model projects 1.88 expected goals for Spain versus 1.10 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Spain 54% · Draw 25% · Italy 21%.
🇪🇸
Spain
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 92)
- ✓Higher Elo rating (2165 vs 1859)
- ✓Better recent form — D W D W D
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.
Head-to-Head Record
14
ESP wins
17
Draws
10
ITA wins
Goals: 51 – 44
🎟️
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🇪🇸 Spain vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026