WhoWinsToday
🇶🇦vs🇲🇽

Qatar vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇶🇦 QAT: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇶🇦

QAT

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇶🇦QAT
MEX🇲🇽
66 Attack74
66🛡️ Defense74
66🎯 Midfield75
21📈 Recent Form87
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇶🇦QatarLast 5
D0–0
vs El Salvador
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1913). Mexico are projected 1.33 xG against Qatar's 0.45, reflecting their offensive dominance. Mexico's superior momentum (W-W-W-D-D) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Qatar 11% · Draw 31% · Mexico 58%.

🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1411)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)

Head-to-Head Record

5

QAT wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇶🇦 Qatar vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026