WhoWinsToday
🇶🇦vs🇮🇹

Qatar vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇶🇦 QAT: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇶🇦

QAT

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇶🇦QAT
ITA🇮🇹
66 Attack79
66🛡️ Defense87
66🎯 Midfield83
7📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇶🇦QatarLast 5
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
L0–1
vs Lebanon

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Italy are projected 1.58 xG against Qatar's 0.86, reflecting their offensive dominance. Italy's superior momentum (W-D-L-L-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Qatar 19% · Draw 28% · Italy 53%.

🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.2 conceded/match)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1423)
  • Better recent form — W D L L W
  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)

Head-to-Head Record

5

QAT wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇶🇦 Qatar vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026