WhoWinsToday
🇶🇦vs🇪🇨

Qatar vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇶🇦 QAT: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇶🇦

QAT

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🏆 Ecuador predicted to win

Team Strength

🇶🇦QAT
ECU🇪🇨
66 Attack74
66🛡️ Defense73
66🎯 Midfield72
21📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇶🇦QatarLast 5
D0–0
vs El Salvador
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Ecuador hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1871). Ecuador are projected 1.24 xG against Qatar's 0.46, reflecting their offensive dominance. Ecuador's superior momentum (W-W-D-D-W) is reflected in the projection. Final probabilities: Qatar 12% · Draw 33% · Ecuador 55%.

🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1871 vs 1411)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
  • Midfield superiority (rating 72)

Head-to-Head Record

5

QAT wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇶🇦 Qatar vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026