WhoWinsToday
🇵🇹vs🇺🇸

Portugal vs USA

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇵🇹 POR: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇵🇹

POR

00
🇺🇸

USA

🏆 Portugal predicted to win

Team Strength

🇵🇹POR
USA🇺🇸
91 Attack75
80🛡️ Defense76
84🎯 Midfield74
87📈 Recent Form36
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇵🇹PortugalLast 5
W2–1
vs Nigeria
W2–1
vs Chile
W0–2
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
D2–2
vs Spain

🇺🇸USALast 5
L1–2
vs Germany
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Portugal hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1995). The model projects 2.07 expected goals for Portugal versus 0.82 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Portugal's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Portugal 65% · Draw 23% · USA 12%.

🇵🇹

Portugal

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 84)
  • Higher Elo rating (1995 vs 1747)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

POR wins

3

Draws

5

USA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026