WhoWinsToday
🇵🇹vs🇳🇱

Portugal vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇵🇹 POR: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇵🇹

POR

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇵🇹POR
NED🇳🇱
91 Attack85
80🛡️ Defense81
84🎯 Midfield83
78📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇵🇹PortugalLast 5
W0–2
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
D2–2
vs Spain
W1–2
@ Germany
W5–2
vs Denmark

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Portugal and Netherlands are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Portugal versus 1.06 for Netherlands, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Portugal's recent run of form (W-D-D-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Portugal 47% · Draw 29% · Netherlands 24%.

🇵🇹

Portugal

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D D W W
  • Higher Elo rating (1984 vs 1944)
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

POR wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026