WhoWinsToday
🇵🇹vs🇮🇹

Portugal vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇵🇹 POR: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇵🇹

POR

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇵🇹POR
ITA🇮🇹
91 Attack79
80🛡️ Defense87
84🎯 Midfield83
87📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇵🇹PortugalLast 5
W2–1
vs Nigeria
W2–1
vs Chile
W0–2
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
D2–2
vs Spain

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Portugal hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1995). The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Portugal versus 0.96 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Portugal 48% · Draw 29% · Italy 23%.

🇵🇹

Portugal

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1995 vs 1869)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Superior attack (2.1 goals/match avg)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

POR wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇵🇹 Portugal vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026