WhoWinsToday
🇳🇬vs🇮🇹

Nigeria vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇳🇬 NGA: Estimated🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇳🇬

NGA

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇳🇬NGA
ITA🇮🇹
74 Attack79
69🛡️ Defense87
70🎯 Midfield83
73📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇳🇬Nigeria

No recent match data available


🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Italy hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1859). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.09 vs 1.32, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Nigeria 29% · Draw 31% · Italy 40%.

🇳🇬

Nigeria

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D W L W
  • Stronger defence (1.3 conceded/match)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1859 vs 1770)

Head-to-Head Record

5

NGA wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇳🇬 Nigeria vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026