WhoWinsToday
🇳🇱vs🇶🇦

Netherlands vs Qatar

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇳🇱 NED: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇳🇱

NED

00
🇶🇦

QAT

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇳🇱NED
QAT🇶🇦
85 Attack66
81🛡️ Defense66
83🎯 Midfield66
44📈 Recent Form7
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain

🇶🇦QatarLast 5
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
L0–1
vs Lebanon
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Netherlands hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1944). The model projects 1.72 expected goals for Netherlands versus 0.82 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Netherlands's recent run of form (L-D-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Netherlands 57% · Draw 27% · Qatar 16%.

🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1423)
  • Better recent form — L D W D D
  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.2 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

NED wins

3

Draws

5

QAT wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026