WhoWinsToday
🇳🇱vs🇮🇹

Netherlands vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇳🇱 NED: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇳🇱

NED

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇳🇱NED
ITA🇮🇹
85 Attack79
81🛡️ Defense87
83🎯 Midfield83
60📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
W2–1
vs Uzbekistan
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Netherlands hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1971). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.36 vs 1.20, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Netherlands 39% · Draw 30% · Italy 31%.

🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1971 vs 1869)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

NED wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026