WhoWinsToday
🇳🇱vs🇮🇹

Netherlands vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇳🇱 NED: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇳🇱

NED

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇳🇱NED
ITA🇮🇹
85 Attack79
81🛡️ Defense87
83🎯 Midfield83
44📈 Recent Form54
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
W0–1
@ Belgium
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Netherlands hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1944). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.53 vs 1.27, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Netherlands 42% · Draw 28% · Italy 30%.

🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1859)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W D L L W

Head-to-Head Record

5

NED wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026