WhoWinsToday
🇲🇦vs🇮🇹

Morocco vs Italy

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇦 MAR: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇦

MAR

00
🇮🇹

ITA

🏆 Morocco predicted to win

Team Strength

🇲🇦MAR
ITA🇮🇹
76 Attack79
85🛡️ Defense87
79🎯 Midfield83
79📈 Recent Form65
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇦MoroccoLast 5
D1–1
vs Norway
W4–0
vs Madagascar
W5–0
vs Burundi
W2–1
vs Paraguay
D1–1
vs Ecuador

🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Morocco and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Morocco versus 0.66 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Morocco 49% · Draw 33% · Italy 18%.

🇲🇦

Morocco

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — D W W W D
  • Higher Elo rating (1901 vs 1869)
🇮🇹

Italy

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MAR wins

3

Draws

5

ITA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇦 Morocco vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026