🇲🇽vs🏴
Mexico vs Wales
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🏴 WAL: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇲🇽
MEX
0–0
🏴
WAL
🏆 Mexico predicted to win
Team Strength
🇲🇽MEX
WAL🏴
74⚡ Attack70
74🛡️ Defense71
75🎯 Midfield70
87📈 Recent Form22
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🏴WalesLast 5
L2–1
@ Romania
D1–1
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Northern Ireland
L3–0
@ England
L0–1
vs Canada
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AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1913). The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.46 for Wales, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 56% · Draw 32% · Wales 12%.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — W W W D D
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1682)
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 75)
🏴
Wales
Why they could win
Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.
Head-to-Head Record
5
MEX wins
3
Draws
5
WAL wins
Goals: 14 – 14
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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🏴 Wales · FIFA World Cup 2026