WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇺🇸

Mexico vs USA

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇺🇸

USA

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
USA🇺🇸
74 Attack75
74🛡️ Defense76
75🎯 Midfield74
83📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.73 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Mexico 47% · Draw 33% · USA 20%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1733)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

USA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026