🇲🇽vs🇺🇸
Mexico vs USA
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇲🇽
MEX
0–0
🇺🇸
USA
🏆 Mexico predicted to win
Team Strength
🇲🇽MEX
USA🇺🇸
74⚡ Attack75
74🛡️ Defense76
75🎯 Midfield74
87📈 Recent Form36
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🇺🇸USALast 5
L1–2
vs Germany
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1914). The model projects 1.59 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.63 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 59% · Draw 28% · USA 13%.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1914 vs 1746)
- ✓Better recent form — W W W D D
🇺🇸
USA
Why they could win
Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.
Head-to-Head Record
5
MEX wins
3
Draws
5
USA wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026