🇲🇽vs🇺🇾
Mexico vs Uruguay
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇲🇽
MEX
0–0
🇺🇾
URU
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇲🇽MEX
URU🇺🇾
74⚡ Attack78
74🛡️ Defense80
75🎯 Midfield77
83📈 Recent Form46
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland
🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Mexico and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.73 vs 0.72, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 30% · Draw 41% · Uruguay 29%.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — W W D D W
🇺🇾
Uruguay
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1892 vs 1867)
Head-to-Head Record
5
MEX wins
3
Draws
5
URU wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026