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🇲🇽vs🇺🇾

Mexico vs Uruguay

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇺🇾 URU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇺🇾

URU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
URU🇺🇾
74 Attack78
74🛡️ Defense80
75🎯 Midfield77
87📈 Recent Form46
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇺🇾UruguayLast 5
D0–0
@ Algeria
D1–1
@ England
L5–1
@ United States
D0–0
@ Mexico
W1–2
@ Uzbekistan
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico and Uruguay are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 0.94 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.60 for Uruguay, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 41% · Draw 38% · Uruguay 21%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1841)
🇺🇾

Uruguay

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

URU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇺🇾 Uruguay · FIFA World Cup 2026