WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇺🇦

Mexico vs Ukraine

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇺🇦 UKR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇺🇦

UKR

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
UKR🇺🇦
74 Attack73
74🛡️ Defense75
75🎯 Midfield73
87📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇺🇦UkraineLast 5
L2–1
@ Denmark
W0–2
@ Poland
W1–0
vs Albania
W1–2
@ New Zealand
L4–2
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1913). The model projects 1.29 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.61 for Ukraine, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Mexico 51% · Draw 33% · Ukraine 16%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1780)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
🇺🇦

Ukraine

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

UKR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine · FIFA World Cup 2026