WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇸🇪

Mexico vs Sweden

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇸🇪 SWE: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇸🇪

SWE

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
SWE🇸🇪
74 Attack71
74🛡️ Defense71
75🎯 Midfield70
83📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.96 vs 0.97, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 32% · Draw 35% · Sweden 33%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1714)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

SWE wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇸🇪 Sweden · FIFA World Cup 2026