WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇪🇸

Mexico vs Spain

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇪🇸 ESP: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇪🇸

ESP

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
ESP🇪🇸
74 Attack86
74🛡️ Defense88
75🎯 Midfield92
87📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇪🇸SpainLast 5
W1–3
@ Peru
D1–1
vs Iraq
D0–0
vs Egypt
W3–0
vs Serbia
D2–2
@ Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Spain hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (2177). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.98 vs 1.14, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 29% · Draw 33% · Spain 38%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Stronger defence (0.7 conceded/match)
🇪🇸

Spain

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 92)
  • Higher Elo rating (2177 vs 1913)
  • Superior attack (2.4 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

ESP wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇪🇸 Spain · FIFA World Cup 2026