WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇷🇺

Mexico vs Russia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇷🇺 RUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇷🇺

RUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
RUS🇷🇺
74 Attack72
74🛡️ Defense72
75🎯 Midfield70
83📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇷🇺RussiaLast 5
L3–2
@ United States
W3–1
vs Gambia
W2–0
vs Peru
W8–0
vs Kenya
L2–0
@ Brazil
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.87 vs 0.83, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 32% · Draw 38% · Russia 30%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1766)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇷🇺

Russia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

RUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇷🇺 Russia · FIFA World Cup 2026