WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇶🇦

Mexico vs Qatar

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇶🇦

QAT

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
QAT🇶🇦
74 Attack66
74🛡️ Defense66
75🎯 Midfield66
83📈 Recent Form7
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇶🇦QatarLast 5
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
L0–1
vs Lebanon
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). The model projects 1.23 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.52 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 52% · Draw 34% · Qatar 14%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1423)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

QAT wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026