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🇲🇽vs🇵🇱

Mexico vs Poland

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇵🇱 POL: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇵🇱

POL

🏆 Mexico predicted to win

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
POL🇵🇱
74 Attack74
74🛡️ Defense72
75🎯 Midfield71
83📈 Recent Form49
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇵🇱PolandLast 5
D2–2
vs Nigeria
L0–2
vs Ukraine
W1–0
vs New Zealand
W2–0
vs Moldova
L1–2
vs Scotland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1867). The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.59 for Poland, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 55% · Draw 31% · Poland 14%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1867 vs 1710)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇵🇱

Poland

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

POL wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇵🇱 Poland · FIFA World Cup 2026