WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇳🇱

Mexico vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
NED🇳🇱
74 Attack85
74🛡️ Defense81
75🎯 Midfield83
83📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico and Netherlands are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.92 vs 1.00, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-D-D-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 30% · Draw 35% · Netherlands 35%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W D D W
  • Stronger defence (0.8 conceded/match)
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1867)
  • Superior attack (2.1 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026