WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇳🇱

Mexico vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
NED🇳🇱
74 Attack85
74🛡️ Defense81
75🎯 Midfield83
87📈 Recent Form60
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
W2–1
vs Uzbekistan
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Mexico and Netherlands are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.13 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.90 for Netherlands, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Mexico 39% · Draw 34% · Netherlands 27%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Stronger defence (0.7 conceded/match)
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1971 vs 1914)
  • Superior attack (2.0 goals/match avg)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026