🇲🇽vs🇯🇵
Mexico vs Japan
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇲🇽
MEX
0–0
🇯🇵
JPN
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇲🇽MEX
JPN🇯🇵
74⚡ Attack77
74🛡️ Defense75
75🎯 Midfield78
87📈 Recent Form100
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Mexico and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.93 vs 0.88, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 33% · Draw 37% · Japan 30%.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1888)
🇯🇵
Japan
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 78)
- ✓Better recent form — W W W W W
Head-to-Head Record
5
MEX wins
3
Draws
5
JPN wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
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🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026