WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇯🇵

Mexico vs Japan

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇯🇵 JPN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇯🇵

JPN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
JPN🇯🇵
74 Attack77
74🛡️ Defense75
75🎯 Midfield78
83📈 Recent Form100
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Mexico and Japan are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Japan are projected 1.01 xG against Mexico's 0.74, reflecting their offensive dominance. Final probabilities: Mexico 24% · Draw 37% · Japan 39%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1867)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

JPN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇯🇵 Japan · FIFA World Cup 2026