🇲🇽vs🇮🇹
Mexico vs Italy
AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction
🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇮🇹 ITA: Live data
Predicted Scoreline
🇲🇽
MEX
0–0
🇮🇹
ITA
🤝 Predicted draw
Team Strength
🇲🇽MEX
ITA🇮🇹
74⚡ Attack79
74🛡️ Defense87
75🎯 Midfield83
87📈 Recent Form65
📋
Recent Form
Source: ESPN🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🇮🇹ItalyLast 5
W0–1
@ Greece
W0–1
@ Luxembourg
D3–3
@ Germany
L1–2
vs Germany
L1–3
vs France
🤖
AI Analysis
Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Mexico and Italy are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.12 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.77 for Italy, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Mexico 42% · Draw 35% · Italy 23%.
🇲🇽
Mexico
Why they could win
- ✓Better recent form — W W W D D
- ✓Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1869)
🇮🇹
Italy
Why they could win
- ✓Midfield superiority (rating 83)
Head-to-Head Record
5
MEX wins
3
Draws
5
ITA wins
Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️
🏟️ Live eventsWatch It Live
🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇮🇹 Italy · FIFA World Cup 2026