WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇪🇨

Mexico vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
ECU🇪🇨
74 Attack74
74🛡️ Defense73
75🎯 Midfield72
87📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W3–0
vs Guatemala
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Mexico and Ecuador are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.78 vs 0.66, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 33% · Draw 41% · Ecuador 26%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1914 vs 1871)
🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026