WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇪🇨

Mexico vs Ecuador

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇪🇨 ECU: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇪🇨

ECU

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
ECU🇪🇨
74 Attack74
74🛡️ Defense73
75🎯 Midfield72
83📈 Recent Form73
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland

🇪🇨EcuadorLast 5
W2–1
vs Saudi Arabia
D1–1
@ Netherlands
D1–1
@ Morocco
W2–0
vs New Zealand
D0–0
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico and Ecuador are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.65 vs 0.73, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Mexico 27% · Draw 41% · Ecuador 32%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Better recent form — W W D D W
🇪🇨

Ecuador

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1935 vs 1867)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

ECU wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇪🇨 Ecuador · FIFA World Cup 2026