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🇲🇽vs🇭🇷

Mexico vs Croatia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇭🇷 CRO: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇭🇷

CRO

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
CRO🇭🇷
74 Attack81
74🛡️ Defense82
75🎯 Midfield84
87📈 Recent Form45
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇭🇷CroatiaLast 5
W2–1
vs Slovenia
L0–2
vs Belgium
L3–1
@ Brazil
W1–2
@ Colombia
L2–0
@ France
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Mexico and Croatia are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.63 for Croatia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 47% · Draw 34% · Croatia 19%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W D D
  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1881)
🇭🇷

Croatia

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 84)

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

CRO wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇭🇷 Croatia · FIFA World Cup 2026