WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇨🇦

Mexico vs Canada

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇨🇦 CAN: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇨🇦

CAN

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
CAN🇨🇦
74 Attack71
74🛡️ Defense70
75🎯 Midfield72
87📈 Recent Form68
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇨🇦CanadaLast 5
D1–1
vs Republic of Ireland
W2–0
vs Uzbekistan
D0–0
vs Tunisia
D2–2
vs Iceland
W1–0
vs Guatemala
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1914). The model projects 0.83 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.49 for Canada, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Mexico 40% · Draw 41% · Canada 19%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1914 vs 1729)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
🇨🇦

Canada

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

CAN wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇨🇦 Canada · FIFA World Cup 2026