WhoWinsToday
🇲🇽vs🇦🇺

Mexico vs Australia

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇲🇽 MEX: Live data🇦🇺 AUS: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇲🇽

MEX

00
🇦🇺

AUS

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇲🇽MEX
AUS🇦🇺
74 Attack70
74🛡️ Defense71
75🎯 Midfield72
87📈 Recent Form49
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal

🇦🇺AustraliaLast 5
D1–1
@ Switzerland
L1–0
@ Mexico
W5–1
vs Curaçao
W1–0
vs Cameroon
L3–0
@ Colombia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Mexico hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1913). The model projects 0.99 expected goals for Mexico versus 0.61 for Australia, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Mexico's recent run of form (W-W-W-D-D) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Mexico 42% · Draw 38% · Australia 20%.

🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 75)
  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1795)
  • Better recent form — W W W D D
🇦🇺

Australia

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

MEX wins

3

Draws

5

AUS wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇲🇽 Mexico vs 🇦🇺 Australia · FIFA World Cup 2026