WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇺🇸

Japan vs USA

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇺🇸 USA: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇺🇸

USA

🏆 Japan predicted to win

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
USA🇺🇸
77 Attack75
75🛡️ Defense76
78🎯 Midfield74
100📈 Recent Form56
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇺🇸USALast 5
W3–2
vs Senegal
L0–2
vs Portugal
L2–5
vs Belgium
W5–1
vs Uruguay
W2–1
vs Paraguay
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1906). The model projects 1.92 expected goals for Japan versus 0.82 for USA, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 62% · Draw 24% · USA 14%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1733)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇺🇸

USA

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

USA wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇺🇸 USA · FIFA World Cup 2026