WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇺🇦

Japan vs Ukraine

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇺🇦 UKR: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇺🇦

UKR

🏆 Japan predicted to win

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
UKR🇺🇦
77 Attack73
75🛡️ Defense75
78🎯 Midfield73
100📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇺🇦UkraineLast 5
L2–1
@ Denmark
W0–2
@ Poland
W1–0
vs Albania
W1–2
@ New Zealand
L4–2
@ Canada
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as competitive. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1888). The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Japan versus 0.78 for Ukraine, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 54% · Draw 29% · Ukraine 17%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1888 vs 1780)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇺🇦

Ukraine

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

UKR wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇺🇦 Ukraine · FIFA World Cup 2026