WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇸🇪

Japan vs Sweden

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇸🇪 SWE: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇸🇪

SWE

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
SWE🇸🇪
77 Attack71
75🛡️ Defense71
78🎯 Midfield70
100📈 Recent Form58
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇸🇪SwedenLast 5
L3–1
@ Norway
W4–3
vs Algeria
W0–2
@ Hungary
W5–1
vs Northern Ireland
L1–0
@ Luxembourg
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1906). Expected goals are closely balanced at 1.38 vs 1.12, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 41% · Draw 30% · Sweden 29%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1714)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇸🇪

Sweden

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

SWE wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇸🇪 Sweden · FIFA World Cup 2026