WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇶🇦

Japan vs Qatar

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇶🇦 QAT: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇶🇦

QAT

🏆 Japan predicted to win

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
QAT🇶🇦
77 Attack66
75🛡️ Defense66
78🎯 Midfield66
100📈 Recent Form7
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇶🇦QatarLast 5
L1–0
@ Republic of Ireland
L1–2
vs Zimbabwe
L1–4
vs Russia
D2–2
vs Bahrain
L0–1
vs Lebanon
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as one-sided. Japan hold a meaningful Elo rating edge (1906). The model projects 1.71 expected goals for Japan versus 0.61 for Qatar, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 63% · Draw 25% · Qatar 12%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1423)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
🇶🇦

Qatar

Why they could win

  • Stronger defence (1.2 conceded/match)

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

QAT wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

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🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇶🇦 Qatar · FIFA World Cup 2026