WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇳🇱

Japan vs Netherlands

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇳🇱 NED: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇳🇱

NED

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
NED🇳🇱
77 Attack85
75🛡️ Defense81
78🎯 Midfield83
100📈 Recent Form44
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇳🇱NetherlandsLast 5
L0–1
vs Algeria
D1–1
vs Ecuador
W2–1
vs Norway
D3–3
@ Spain
D2–2
vs Spain
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Japan and Netherlands are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.45 expected goals for Japan versus 1.11 for Netherlands, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 43% · Draw 30% · Netherlands 27%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Better recent form — W W W W W
  • Stronger defence (1.0 conceded/match)
🇳🇱

Netherlands

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 83)
  • Higher Elo rating (1944 vs 1906)

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

NED wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇳🇱 Netherlands · FIFA World Cup 2026