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🇯🇵vs🇲🇽

Japan vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
MEX🇲🇽
77 Attack74
75🛡️ Defense74
78🎯 Midfield75
100📈 Recent Form83
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
W4–0
vs Iceland
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Japan and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Japan versus 0.74 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Final probabilities: Japan 39% · Draw 37% · Mexico 24%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Higher Elo rating (1906 vs 1867)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026