⚽WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇲🇽

Japan vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

0–0
🇲🇽

MEX

🏆 Japan predicted to win

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
MEX🇲🇽
77⚡ Attack74
75🛡️ Defense74
78🎯 Midfield75
100📈 Recent Form28
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W2–1
vs Venezuela
W3–1
vs Uruguay
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
L0–2
vs Chile
L3–0
@ United States
D1–1
vs Peru
D1–1
vs Colombia
W5–1
vs Serbia
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as closely contested. Japan and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Japan versus 0.70 for Mexico, indicating a clear attacking advantage. Japan's recent run of form (W-W-W-W-W) strengthens the model's lean towards them. Final probabilities: Japan 50% · Draw 32% · Mexico 18%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • ✓Better recent form — W W W W W
  • ✓Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • ✓Higher Elo rating (1897 vs 1868)
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

Both teams are evenly matched in most categories.

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 14 – 14
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026