WhoWinsToday
🇯🇵vs🇲🇽

Japan vs Mexico

AI-Powered FIFA World Cup 2026 Match Prediction

🇯🇵 JPN: Live data🇲🇽 MEX: Live data

Predicted Scoreline

🇯🇵

JPN

00
🇲🇽

MEX

🤝 Predicted draw

Team Strength

🇯🇵JPN
MEX🇲🇽
77 Attack74
75🛡️ Defense74
78🎯 Midfield75
100📈 Recent Form87
📋

Recent Form

Source: ESPN
🇯🇵JapanLast 5
W1–0
vs Iceland
W0–1
@ England
W0–1
@ Scotland
W3–0
vs Bolivia
W2–0
vs Ghana

🇲🇽MexicoLast 5
W5–1
vs Serbia
W1–0
vs Australia
W2–0
vs Ghana
D1–1
vs Belgium
D0–0
vs Portugal
🤖

AI Analysis

Our Dixon-Coles Poisson model rates this as extremely tight. Japan and Mexico are evenly matched on global Elo standings. Expected goals are closely balanced at 0.88 vs 0.93, making the outcome genuinely uncertain. Final probabilities: Japan 30% · Draw 37% · Mexico 33%.

🇯🇵

Japan

Why they could win

  • Midfield superiority (rating 78)
  • Better recent form — W W W W W
🇲🇽

Mexico

Why they could win

  • Higher Elo rating (1913 vs 1888)

Head-to-Head Record

5

JPN wins

3

Draws

5

MEX wins

Goals: 1414
🎟️

Watch It Live

🇯🇵 Japan vs 🇲🇽 Mexico · FIFA World Cup 2026